The mid-term election of November 3, 2026, ended up being consequential beyond the predictions. Trump declared that if Republicans lost control of the Legislative branch, the U.S. would descend into chaos. However, with the rebuke of Trump amounting to a landslide, Trump claimed he would work with the new Democratic majorities in both the Senate and House of Representatives. Trump also used a visit to the construction site of his Whitehouse Ballroom to distract from the reality that his being "on the ballot" was substantially the cause of historic losses for the GOP. With distraction as his first step after November 3, it's a good guess that this will continue to be his MO in the coming months. Trump doubled down in demanding unwavering loyalty of those surrounding him by replacing Susie Wiles with Stephen Miller. Some are predicting that increasing insulation from contrary opinions and anger over the 2026 mid-term elections will result in an even more divisive completion of Trump's term of office.
Reports that Trump elevated Miller to "crack skulls" are alarming. Miller is known as a pit bull, an "alpha," or many other characterization, confirming that the potential of any move to reconcile differences with the new Democratic majority in both houses is remote, if not completely out of the question. While I favored backing off threats to Trump and those surrounding him on November 4, it appears that every possible force of law will be required over the next 2 years.
While legislators scramble to respond to Trump's and Miller's barrage of "crazy, the big question is if Washington and state-level politicians will work to serve American citizens by addressing affordability rather than pursuing a new reverse retribution campaign. Important to education, Democrats pledge to renew the commitment to Education which relies on recapturing the House Education Committee and challenging the Secretary's policy actions that are in play. Positive outcomes of the shift away from Trump and the MAGA movement include such things as a surge in international students' interest in studying in the US and the potential to restore tuition discounting for undocumented students.
The stakes for higher education were more significant than past ballots. They included everything from state-level allocations for buildings to research funding and transgender athletes. At the national level, control of Congress can now reverse the current national environment. The impact for faculty has already emerged in self-censorship and raised concerns about authenticity of colleagues and students' scholarship.
Many educators have a renewed hope that trust can be restored as higher education leans into its core purposes rather than having to defend against constant attacks. As the vanguard for entrenched conservativism, Texas may end up being an example of how to reshape governing boards and overcome public skepticism fostered by partisan influencers. The blue tsunami was substantially driven by young voters, many from diverse experiential and cultural backgrounds with the economy and job opportunity their top priority. Prioritizing education, bringing back responsible leadership and restoring the structure and professionalism of the Department of Education, could bring a renewed commitment that will transform many institutions and the broader higher education industry.
The Brookings Institute What Comes Next: the Consequences of the 2026 midterm elections webinar (includes the "Watch online" link) on November 9 at 2:00 p.m. EST may be of use to the ongoing management of response to the elections. Brookings is non-partisan and provides a big picture view that will likely ripple through campuses. Brief summary points include:
- Up and down the ballot outcomes were the greatest Presidential repudiation the U.S. has experienced since Watergate.
- Democrats elected to office reflect a breadth of perspectives from democratic socialists to a new center left cohort, composing the largest left of center majority in decades. The newly elected include a new Christian center, with higher levels of academic achievement, and more of middle class backgrounds.
- 2026 was a referendum based on dissatisfaction with GOP policies rather than a realignment of political parties. Tech-skepticism, anti-elitism, and broad benefit to all citizens were central.
- While not many will be required, it's uncertain how many elected GOP politicians will cross party lines to achieve real legislative outcomes. State-level changes are more likely than federal.
- An agreement to immigration policy change that Trump will be willing to sign is unlikely. Stephen Miller's role in policy determination will be key.
- There is hope that the norms of political engagement will be addressed through legislation to check Executive orders.
- If GOP politicians are to reach across the isle, accountability initiatives to hold Trump, his appointees, and family will need to be reigned in.
- Finding common ground on data centers and health care access are the most promising possibilities.
- The impact of billionaires (particularly Musk), super PACs, and dark money was negligible in the 2026 mid-terms; both left and right politicians may come together to dismantle the influence of oligarchs.
- Lamb-duck legislative progress will be minimal over the next 3 months.
The Brookings panel did not address issues directly related to education but the bottom line is that these are the trends that may be prominent as the U.S. moves out of Trump-dominated era. Regardless of where educators are on the political spectrum, engaging in respectful and constructive ways post the mid-term elections is essential. Nancy L. Thomas, executive director of the American Association of Colleges & Universities' Institute for Democracy and Higher Education, advised on the behalf of AACU "The Morning After: Managing the Day(s) and Week(s) After Election Day":
- Prepare to facilitate difficult conversations - Encourage candor and anticipate conflict.
- Decide in advance whether and how you will disclose your personal views - Assure students that their perspectives will receive a fair hearing and without retaliatory consequences.
- Challenge disinformation - Push students to examine evidence, question unsupported assertions and take responsibility for fact-checking.
- Prepare for uncertain outcomes - Remind students that election results may be incomplete or contested and help them distinguish between verified information, uncertainty and speculation.
