Sixty-one percent of colleges and universities expressed confidence that they would meet their 2026-27 enrollment targets. As campuses open, the enrollment projections are likely to vary by institutional size, location, and programs. While students presumably have the last word, parents (in the case of students directly out of high school) have significant influence.
Parents place affordability and job prospects after graduation at the top of their list.
Higher education is definitely going through a major transition, largely brought on by the Trump administration's attacks but also confounded by cost, credibility, and demographic shifts. The problem is that Trump and Secretary of Education (what's left of it) McMahon continue to prod with assertions like, a "
forthright conversation with the American people is long overdue." McMahon sent a list of questions on Monday, August 3, to the higher education community calling for open and transparent responses to what she presumes are public concerns. Some faculty are courageous enough to
own the disconnect on some issues but called for equal transparency from Trump officials about what they are after.
Writing for Forbes, David Rosowsky proposed that the best response to McMahon and Trump is to
govern seriously by addressing legitimate questions that will contribute to improved quality and credibility over the long-run. He said, "Rather than treating Compact 2.0 as an ideological battlefield, presidents and governing boards should use it as an opportunity to demonstrate institutional competence."
The current dynamics facing higher education require letting go of responding as if "everything is fine." The
new FINE is Feelings I'm Not Expressing. Coming from a psychiatric background, Jessi Gold recommends that decision-making meetings and interaction in general move from the niceness of "fine" and begin to be honest about what educators are feeling - devalued and under attack. One of the most important realities of the Trump era is that the
attacks by DOJ were all predetermined in order to discredit higher education's best institutions. It is
unclear if DOJ will investigate the whistleblower's letter that revealed the intentionality of targeting elite institutions like Columbia and Brown. These attacks are hyper-political which, unfortunately, may have
exploited the growing partisanship that has emerged amid the decline of tenure and shared governance. According to the President of AAUP, Todd Wolfson, higher education quality and access cannot "survive endless disinvestment, political interference, attacks on academic freedom and the systematic erosion of the people whose work makes universities possible."
One of the most important challenges to discuss and to strongly assert is that
Trump administration policies and practices are burning America's talent pipeline at both ends. Stephen Aguilar opines, "In the same month, Washington made it harder for Americans to afford advanced training and for international students to stay and finish theirs. You cannot win an AI race this way." Aguilar's perspective comes from experience in cultivating AI, a field fueled by approximately two-thirds international graduate students.
The chaos created by Trump administration attacks and policy changes complicates higher education leaders' attempts to plan. Budget insecurity is a particular area of vulnerability that institutions must manage and the strategy differs based on prestige and resources. One trend is to
cut staff positions and pour more resources into faculty positions. Time will tell if focusing resources on academic core will result in better student retention and learning.
The rise of progressive candidates for public office has met with hysteria among both mainstream Democrats and MAGA devotees. However, the assertions of these candidates that Trump cares little for the average American is anything but radical. Exposing the bizarre juxtaposition of anti-immigrant and America 1st perspectives versus welcoming talent from around the world and restoring conciliatory diplomacy is core to getting the U.S. back on track - hopefully sooner than later.